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Pre-Market Brief | Thursday, April 23, 2026

Where Futures Sit

Stocks are pulling back from record highs. S&P 500 futures are down around 0.5 percent. Nasdaq 100 futures are off about 0.5 percent. Dow futures are lower by roughly 354 points, or 0.7 percent. Wednesday closed at fresh records with the S&P 500 at 7,137.90 and the Nasdaq at 24,657.57, both all-time highs. The softness this morning is tied to after-hours earnings reactions in mega-cap tech and another leg higher in oil.

Macro Pulse

Brent crude is above $103 per barrel. WTI is trading near $94. The move came after Iran seized two container ships in the Strait of Hormuz and reports emerged that the US intercepted at least three Iranian oil tankers in Asian waters. The ceasefire is technically in place, but the shipping lane is not. April S&P Global flash PMI readings for manufacturing and services are due this morning. A Reuters survey of economists suggests the Fed is unlikely to cut rates before late 2026, with energy-driven inflation now complicating the outlook.

Tickers To Watch

TSLA: Down about 2.4 percent in extended trading. Q1 adjusted EPS beat at $0.41 versus $0.37 expected, but Musk disclosed 2026 capex will top $25 billion, up from $20 billion guided in January. Free cash flow goes negative for the rest of the year.

IBM: Down roughly 6.5 percent after hours. Revenue and profit topped estimates, yet software growth came in soft and reignited concerns about AI eating into its consulting and legacy business.

NOW: ServiceNow dropped more than 13 percent after hours. Beat on the top and bottom line, but the Armis cybersecurity acquisition pressured forward margins.

INTC: Reports after the close today. Bar is low. Watch for server CPU commentary after HSBC's recent upgrade.

HON, UNP, LMT, TMO, AXP, GILD: Major Q1 prints before the bell. Broad read on industrials, rails, defense, health care, and the consumer.

LUV: Southwest Airlines missed on both lines and shed 3 percent after hours. Watch the rest of the airline group for sympathy moves.

XLE, XOM, CVX: Energy remains bid while Hormuz stays contested and tanker incidents continue.

Bottom Line

Record highs one day, crude above $103 the next. This is how late-cycle markets trade: narrow leadership, fragile peace, earnings that beat and still sell off. For investors near retirement, the question today is not whether to chase. It is whether your portfolio can absorb another volatility spike without forcing a decision you don't want to make. Watch oil. Watch the PMI prints. Let the morning's earnings settle before acting.


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