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Is The Bounce Unwinding?

Pre-market futures are red. Dow -242, S&P -0.9%, Nasdaq -1.3%. The Trump-Xi summit wrapped without the breakthroughs Wall Street was pricing in. Boeing landed an order. Beyond that, headlines were thin.

Yesterday felt like the top of a cycle. The Dow reclaimed 50,000 for the first time since February. The S&P closed above 7,500 for the first time ever. Cisco ripped 13%. Nvidia added 4.4%. The AI trade lapped everything.

Today is the hangover. Applied Materials posted a clean beat last night and guided Q3 revenue to $8.95 billion... above estimates. The stock fell 3% in after-hours. When good news stops moving stocks higher, that's the signal.

Two more notes. Jerome Powell leaves the Fed today. Crude is back to $104.75... oil still pricing in Middle East tail risk.


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