The Rally Just Got Its First Real Crack
Core CPI printed 0.4% month-over-month... exactly the bleed-through I warned about this morning. Headline came in at 3.8% year-over-year, the hottest since May 2023. Gasoline up 28.4%. Airfares 20.7%. Food at home posted its biggest monthly jump since August 2022.
The market noticed. S&P off 0.6%, Nasdaq down 0.9%, Dow shedding 288 points. Intel -4.7%, Micron -4%, CoreWeave -8%, Qualcomm -6%. Under Armour collapsed 19% on a wider loss. Six straight winning weeks... cracking.
The bigger story is at the Fed. CME FedWatch now shows 30% odds of a rate hike before year-end. Bank of America pushed its first cut to late 2027. The 10-year yield jumped to 4.45%.
Real wages slipped 0.5% in a single month
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