Seven AI stocks are doing the heavy lifting while bonds bleed.
The Fed isn't cutting, it's actually threatening more hikes.
Long rates are rising.
That's the 1994 playbook: equities flat, bonds crushed, income investors devastated.
Why 1994 matters to me.. (ya I've been at this that long!)
That year the S&P 500 finished roughly flat. Nothing dramatic. But the Fed hiked repeatedly, the 10-year yield went from under 6% to nearly 8%, and the bond funds that retirees held specifically because they were "the safe part" of the portfolio delivered one of the worst years in modern fixed income history.
People who thought they were playing defense took the loss anyway.
The tape looks calm and the index is near records, but the bond market is signaling tightening, not easing.
For an income-dependent investor, a flat equity year paired with a rising-rate bond drawdown is the exact 1994-style scenario that damages capital.
-Greg
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